Ho latela feme ea lefats'e ea bolepi le tlhahlobo ea lipaloOxford Economics, keketseho ea morao-rao ea karolo ea 'maraka oa lefatše oa Chaena e susumetsoa ke phaello linaheng tse tsoetseng pele, ka lebaka la karolo e itseng ea katoloso ea morao tjena ea khoebo ea lefats'e.

Leha ho le joalo, leha ho bile le mehala ea ho hlakola, thepa ea kantle ho naha ea China ho ea linaheng tse tsoetseng pele e ile ea hola ka potlako selemong se fetileng le halofong ea pele ea 2021.

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Setšoantšo se amoheloa ke Oxford Economics

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Mongoli oa tlaleho Louis Kuijs, Hlooho ea Economics ea Asia Oxford Economics, o ngotse: “Le hoja sena se fana ka maikutlo a hore keketseho e ’ngoe ea morao tjena ea karolo ea China ea khoebo ea lefatše ka bophara e tla khutla, pontšo e matla ea thepa ea China e romelloang linaheng tse tsoetseng pele e tiisa hore ho bile le ho fokotseha ho fokolang ho fihlela joale".

Litlhahlobo li bonts'itse melemo ea linaha tse tsoetseng pele ka karolo e 'ngoe e tsoa keketsehong ea morao-rao ea tlhokahalo ea thepa e tsoang kantle ho naha, e hlohlellelitsoeng ke phetoho ea nakoana ea tšebeliso ea lits'ebeletso ho ea ho tšebeliso ea thepa le keketseho ea tlhokeho ea mosebetsi ho tloha lapeng.

Leha ho le joalo, ts'ebetso e matla ea kantle ho naha ea China ho tloha ha ho qhoma seoa sa COVID-19 e tiisa hore liketane tsa phepelo ea lefats'e tse ntlafalitsoeng lilemong tse mashome tse sa tsoa feta - mme moo China e bapalang karolo ea bohlokoa ho eona - e "ts'oara" ho feta ba belaelloang ba bangata," ho boletse Kuijs. .

Tlaleho e ekelitse hore matla a kantle ho naha a bonts'a mabaka a nakoana, a hatisa hore "mmuso o tšehetsang le ona o thusitse."

"Maitekong a eona a ho 'sireletsa (naha) karolo ea liketane tsa phepelo ea lefats'e', mmuso oa China o ile oa nka mehato ea ho tloha ho fokotsa litefiso ho isa ho thusa ka mokhoa oa ho isa thepa boema-kepeng, ka hona ho netefatsa boteng ba lihlahisoa ka nako eo liketane tsa phepelo ea lefats'e. e bile tlas'a khatello," ho boletse Kuijs.

Ho ea ka lintlha tsa molao tsa China tse tsoang ho General Administration of Customs of China, khoebo le balekane ba eona ba bararo ba ka sehloohong ba khoebo - Mokhatlo oa Linaha tsa Asia Boroa-bochabela, European Union le United States - li bolokile kholo e kholo halofo ea pele ea 2021, ka kholo. litekanyetso li eme ho 27.8%, 26.7% le 34.6%, ka ho latellana.

Kuijs o itse: "Ha ntlafatso ea lefats'e e ntse e hola le sebopeho sa tlhoko ea lefats'e le thepa e tsoang kantle ho naha e ntse e tloaeleha, liphetoho tse ling tsa morao-rao tsa maemo a khoebo li tla etsolloa.Leha ho le joalo, matla a lekanyelitsoeng a thepa ea kantle ho naha ea China a bonts'a hore ho fihlela hajoale, ha se boholo ba kabohano e batloang ke mebuso e meng ea linaha tse tsoetseng pele, le e lebelletsoeng ke bashebelli, e se e etsahetse. ”